BTC Has 50% Chance to Reach US$140K This Month, Historical Model Gives Clue

Bitcoin (BTC) is back in the spotlight in the digital asset market after economist Timothy Peterson released historical simulation results showing a significant opportunity for BTC prices to break through the US$140,000 level by the end of October 2025.

According to a report quoted from Cointelegraph, Peterson used hundreds of simulations based on Bitcoin’s daily historical data since 2015. The results were quite surprising: 50% of the scenarios showed the BTC price could be above US$140,000 by the end of the month, while around 43% of the other scenarios predicted the price would actually close below US$136,000.

With the current BTC price still around US$122,000, an increase of around 14.7% is needed to achieve this ambitious target. Even though this opportunity is considered high, the volatility that is characteristic of the crypto market means that investors still have to be careful.

Current crypto market sentiment
The opportunity for Bitcoin prices to rise cannot be separated from a number of supporting factors. Some analysts think investor optimism is still high heading into the fourth quarter, a period historically known as one of the bullish seasons for BTC.

In addition, increasing institutional adoption and strengthening the narrative of Bitcoin as “digital gold” also strengthen expectations. A number of global financial companies are increasingly offering Bitcoin-based products, which has the potential to expand access and interest for new investors.

However, quite a few parties also warn of potential risks. Uncertainty in global macroeconomic conditions, central bank interest rate policies, and regulations that continue to develop are variables that can significantly influence price movements.

The Importance of Data Access and Safe Investment
For retail investors, access to accurate market information and data is key in making investment decisions, especially when crypto prices move rapidly. This is where the role of investment applications becomes very important.

One investment application that is increasingly popular in Indonesia is Nanovest. Through Nanovest, investors can not only monitor the movement of crypto assets such as Bitcoin, but also United States stocks and digital gold in one application. This gives investors the freedom to diversify their portfolio, which is an important strategy in reducing risk.

For those who are just starting their investment journey, Nanovest offers comfort and security. Investors don’t need to worry about the risk of cybercrime because assets in Nanovest are protected by Sinarmas insurance. Apart from that, this application has been registered and officially licensed as a Digital Financial Asset Trader from the Financial Services Authority (OJK), so its credibility and legality are guaranteed.

Nanovest is also easy to access as it is available on both the Play Store and App Store, making it a great choice for both beginners and experienced investors who want to keep an eye on opportunities in the market.

Momentum that should not be missed
If Peterson’s prediction is correct, this October could be a historic moment for Bitcoin. The price surge to reach US$140,000 will certainly further strengthen the bullish narrative and attract more new investors to the crypto market.

However, a 50% chance also means there is an equally high chance of BTC not reaching that level. Therefore, investors are advised to continue using a wise approach, managing risk, and not relying solely on predictions.

For activist investors who want to share in this market momentum, using a safe and trusted investment platform is a wise first step. With Nanovest, users can start exploring crypto assets while expanding their horizons to other instruments such as global stocks and digital gold.

About NANOVEST

Nanovest (PT Grow Together Nano) is an application-based digital marketplace platform that makes it easier for users to access digital assets in the form of global shares, crypto assets and digital gold. We aim to revolutionize the way young people invest so they can achieve financial freedom. Nanovest has officially been registered and officially licensed as a Digital Financial Asset Trader from the Financial Services Authority (OJK). For further information, please visit our website at www.nanovest.io.