Intel Beats Q4 Expectations, But Shares Pressured by 2026 Outlook

Shares of Intel Corporation (INTC) experienced significant market pressure following the release of its fourth quarter fiscal 2025 financial report. Although revenue and earnings per share results exceeded analyst expectations, the company’s guidance for the first quarter of 2026 was considered less than encouraging, triggering a strong sell-off in the United States stock market.

In its Q4 2025 report, Intel posted revenue of around US$13.7 billion, slightly higher than analyst estimates and showing that the company is still able to weather the pressures of a complex industry. This revenue figure fell by around 4% compared to the same period the previous year, but was still above the market estimate range. Meanwhile, adjusted earnings (non-GAAP EPS) came in at USD 0.15 per share, topping analysts’ lower consensus expectations.

Although Intel managed to beat market expectations for Q4, this was not enough to prevent negative market sentiment towards the company’s future. Investors are focused on first-quarter 2026 guidance that is projected to be well below estimates, with Intel expecting revenue in the range of US$11.7 billion to US$12.7 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share that are close to breakeven or even negative. The guidance was considered disappointing because it fell below analyst expectations, raising doubts about Intel’s ability to maintain growth momentum.

Weak sentiment was also exacerbated by concerns around supply chain challenges and production capabilities, especially in meeting growing demand for high-performance chips in data centers and artificial intelligence applications. The company warned that supply constraints are expected to remain until at least the second quarter, before starting to recover. These concerns are compounded by a slowdown in the client computing (PC) segment, where demand is still showing a downward trend.

The market response to the guidance was sharp. Intel shares fell more than 12% to 17% in one session, reflecting investors’ reaction to a combination of weak guidance, uncertain growth prospects and structural challenges in global chipset competition with rivals such as Nvidia and AMD. Many analysts note that while Intel is showing strength in the Data Center & AI segment, challenges in the PC lineup as well as margin pressure make the near-term outlook more complicated.

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